Senator McCain Can Go All the Way

March 5, 2008

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Senator John McCain can go all the way to The White House. Politics is the art of the possible. McCain is looking more and more a possible winner

Events are lining up favourably for Senator John McCain. It works for him that the Democrats still have two candidates. It works for him that he can campaign without having to go back on the themes which have brought him to prominence over the last four years. Even the looming problems in Latin America seem likely to work in his favour.

America had anticipated some resolution in the race for the Presidency this week. It was expected that the Democrats would whittle down their candidates to one who would be strong favourite not just for the nomination, but to become the next Pesident of the United States.

So what happens? Events continue to defy prediction. Hillary Clinton wins in Rhode Island. It couldn’t be more symbolic, but a win is a win. It is enough to keep her in the race.

Meanwhile Ecuador and Columbia draw up troops on their common border. President Chavez of Columbia and Correa of Columbia both seem in confrontational mood.
According to The Statesman, Chavez accuses Correa of initiating a cross-border incursion of tanks and troops.

Denouncing Colombia’s slaying of rebels in a cross-border raid into Ecuador, President Chavez said Sunday [March 2nd 2008] that Venezuela will respond militarily if Colombia violates its border. He ordered Rafael Correa ‘s Embassy in Bogota closed. Ecuadorean President Rafael Correa also ordered troops to the Colombian border, withdrew his government’s ambassador from Bogota and ordered Colombia’s top diplomat expelled.

These events seem unlikely to have had much influence on the immediate outcome of the Primary elections this week. But they could well have more of an influence in the months ahead.

Suddenly, the excitement for many Americans generated by Barack Obama’s campaign may seem not quite as potent. His promise of radical change not so all-consuming and satisfactory. Likewise, the experience of Hillary Clinton appears less a convertible asset in a Presidential campaign against a warrior hero whose potential popularity is increasingly drawing comparison that of the much-loved Ronald Reagan.

All in all, the road to the White House is opening up for McCain.

That’s not to say that the battle is over. It has hardly begun. But however charged with difficulties, it is not going to be simple matter of the Democratic Party picking the next President from two likely winners.