Update [Aug 2009]
[This post offers background to the eventual merger between Porsche and Volkswagen. The original post follows ]
No-one was surprised when the so-called VW law was declared illegal. The ruling had been anticipated for a long time by Porsche through skillfully increasing its stake in VW. The stage was set for an official announcement of a merger between two German industrial dynasties which already had close family ties
European commentators had been discussing the merger for some while, as the so-called VW Law was tested in the courts. The general view was that the law contravened EU principles on competition grounds. The possibility of non-German control would encourage a ‘friendly’ takeover, with Porsche a front-running candidate.
There are strong links between the companies
Dr Ferdinand Porsche designed the original Beetle in 1936, and his grandson, Ferdinand Piech, is chairman of VW and the controlling shareholder in Porsche. Wendelin Wiedeking, chief executive of Porsche, is a member of the supervisory board of Volkswagen.
Anticipating the ruling will go against the VW Law after the advisory opinion, fellow German automaker Porsche AG increased its holding in Volkswagen to 31 percent while Lower Saxony raised its number of shares to 20.36 percent. That means the bloc of Porsche and Lower Saxony can now stop any takeover themselves with more than 51 percent combined
Frits Bolkestein was the EC commissioner for the internal market, and had no doubts about the ruling. Writing in The Financial Times, he points to Article 56 of the Treaty on the Economic Community, which states that
“All restrictions on the movement of capital between member states and between member states and third countries shall be prohibited.” This is one of the four fundamental freedoms of the European Union the freedom of movement of capital, movement of goods, services and persons.
Rumors of wars
There is a case for stating that Germany demonstrates an alternative mode of capitalism. The much-lauded strength of its industrial sector is backed by a complex governance system. Funds tend to be provided by banks rather than the financial institutions of the city. News seems to trickle through to the financial press, increasing the proportion of speculative comment over hard facts.
In November 2007, rumors suggest that Porsche intends to acquire VW, and incorporate the models under the Porsche brand through a holding company. VW declines to respond to such rumors. The powerful unions at Volkswagen sent a signal of discontent, with work stoppages, including 40,000 workers at the main Wolfsburg plant on Wednesday October 30th.
What’s going on?
Shares in VW have moved steadily upward this month. News coverage in the rest of Europe has been low. My suspicion is that plans towards securing that dynastic merger are in place. Whether the happy day is near remains to be seen.